Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.001692 0.001858 0.002024 0.002202 0.002387 0.002574 0.002777
2025-01-19 0.001399 0.001648 0.001907 0.002192 0.002497 0.002812 0.003160
2025-01-26 0.001195 0.001505 0.001836 0.002210 0.002618 0.003048 0.003530
2025-02-02 0.001033 0.001387 0.001775 0.002224 0.002723 0.003254 0.003859
2025-02-09 0.000931 0.001324 0.001765 0.002284 0.002869 0.003499 0.004223
2025-02-16 0.000878 0.001311 0.001805 0.002395 0.003066 0.003797 0.004641
2025-02-23 0.000715 0.001152 0.001667 0.002294 0.003019 0.003817 0.004747
2025-03-02 0.000601 0.001043 0.001579 0.002244 0.003023 0.003889 0.004908
2025-03-09 0.000525 0.000976 0.001536 0.002242 0.003079 0.004017 0.005126
2025-03-16 0.000477 0.000941 0.001529 0.002281 0.003180 0.004193 0.005397
2025-03-23 0.000438 0.000915 0.001532 0.002329 0.003290 0.004378 0.005677
2025-03-30 0.000397 0.000883 0.001523 0.002361 0.003379 0.004539 0.005929
2025-04-06 0.000346 0.000832 0.001491 0.002365 0.003437 0.004666 0.006145
2025-04-13 0.000292 0.000772 0.001443 0.002348 0.003469 0.004762 0.006326
2025-04-20 0.000254 0.000734 0.001423 0.002364 0.003539 0.004902 0.006557
2025-04-27 0.000220 0.000697 0.001402 0.002378 0.003605 0.005036 0.006780
2025-05-04 0.000203 0.000689 0.001419 0.002439 0.003728 0.005237 0.007080
2025-05-11 0.000202 0.000709 0.001477 0.002553 0.003917 0.005515 0.007468
2025-05-18 0.000145 0.000617 0.001369 0.002449 0.003834 0.005470 0.007481
2025-05-25 0.000108 0.000556 0.001304 0.002397 0.003814 0.005498 0.007577
2025-06-01 0.000086 0.000522 0.001277 0.002395 0.003855 0.005598 0.007757
2025-06-08 0.000075 0.000510 0.001282 0.002435 0.003949 0.005761 0.008010
2025-06-15 0.000066 0.000503 0.001294 0.002485 0.004054 0.005938 0.008279